Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Rayo Vallecano		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.30	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.30
	2.28	3.25	3.20	Watch
	2.29	3.28	3.51
	2.34	3.42	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.45
	2.28	3.29	3.34	Watch
	2.30	3.35	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)	3.32 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
42%

Draw
29.1%

Espanyol
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.4%	28.6%	20%

Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 18 - 51.4%). Espanyol will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 34.8% – 68%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Espanyol (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.91) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Audero E. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 15. Sadick M. 17. Pedrosa A. 4. Diaz P. 6. Ciss P. 8. Lopez U. 14. Tsitaishvili G. 10. Camello S. 18. Garcia A. (C)	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 5. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 21. Hinojo R. 4. Gonzalez U. 20. Gabriel Moscardo 28. Hernandez J. 26. Bauza R. 3. Hartman Q. 9. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
9. Alemao 20. Balliu I. 37. Belaid R. 36. Bouare G. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 26. de las Sias M. 22. Fernandez P. 3. Kumbulla M. 30. Molina A. (G) 21. Perez F. 31. Roman M. 23. Valentin O.	22. Calatrava A. 24. Dolan T. 16. Drkusic V. 8. Exposito 18. Fernandez Sanchez M. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 32. Lopez J. A. 10. Lozano P. 11. Milla P. 14. Nunez U. 31. Serred L. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
San Jose B.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Pedrosa A. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
45+2', Lopez U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hinojo R. ↓, Fernandez Sanchez M. ↑,
46', Bauza R. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
46', Gabriel Moscardo ↓, Exposito ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
61', Sadick M. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
61', Lopez U. ↓, Bouare G. ↑,
63', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
67', Tsitaishvili G. 🟨,
70', Ciss P. 🟨,
74', Hernandez J. ↓, Calatrava A. ↑,
76', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
76', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
80', Bouare G. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez U. ↓, Lozano P. ↑,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
90+1', Alemao 🟨,
90+8', El Hilali O. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1.

Recent form of Rayo Vallecano has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Espanyol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rayo Vallecano might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Batalla A. (Broken calfbone) Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Palazon I. (Muscle Injury) Vertrouwd J. (Muscle Injury) de Frutos J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Espanyol: Garcia K. (Hamstring Injury) Gorosabel A. (Injury) Jofre (Groin Injury) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Espanyol: 0.3% Rayo Vallecano: 0.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.26	Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	5:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Espanyol - Levante	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0
07.12.25	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
04.04.25	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	0:4
31.08.24	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
21.05.23	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:2
19.08.22	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	0:2
21.04.22	Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano	0:1

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