Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Angola	20:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN 2
Chile	16:00	DirecTV Sports
China	03:00	Migu
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	21:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Real Sociedad		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.60	2.05	Watch
	3.30	3.50	2.10
	3.40	3.65	2.04	Watch
	3.45	3.67	2.17
	3.29	3.85	2.14
	3.45	3.50	2.16
	3.64	3.66	2.03	Watch
	3.45	3.65	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.06)	3.64 ↑ (3.59)	2.1 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
28%

Draw
26.4%

Atlético Madrid
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	36.7%	56.7%

Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Atlético will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 39% – 74.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Real Sociedad (2.29) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 34. Beitia L. 19. Sarr M. 17. Gomez S. 21. Herrera Y. 18. Soler C. 7. Barrenetxea A. 24. Sucic L. 11. Guedes G. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Oblak J. (C) 18. Pubill M. 21. Romero C. 17. Hancko D. 20. Simeone G. 14. Llorente M. 23. Hjulmand M. 22. Grimaldo A. 7. Lee Kang-In 10. Baena A. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
27. Carrera G. 22. Fort H. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 14. Kubo T. 29. Marchal A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 12. Ochieng J. 9. Oskarsson O. 16. Pacheco J. 8. Turrientes B. 23. Zakharyan A.	5. Cardoso J. 15. David J. 27. Dominguez J. 25. Esquivel S. (G) 45. Gil J. 6. Koke 24. Le Normand R. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 16. Ortiz A. 3. Vargas O.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Herrera Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', Baena A. ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
60', Llorente M. ↓, David J. ↑,
60', Lee Kang-In ↓, Koke ↑,
72', Matarazzo P. 🟨,
72', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Ochieng J. ↑,
72', Guedes G. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
75', Cardoso J. 🟨,
76', Lookman A. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
78', Soler C. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
78', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
79', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Grimaldo A. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Herrera Y. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, David J. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
90+5', 0 - 3, Simeone G. ⚽, Hancko D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Martin J. (Red Card) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Injury) Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	10	8	1	1	20:8	12	25
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19:18	1	19

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 6.42% Real Sociedad: 0.45%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
07.09.26	Elche - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Betis - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWLL
- Atlético Madrid
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
18.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:3 penalties
Spanish LaLiga
07.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	3:2
04.01.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1
10.05.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:0
06.10.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1
25.05.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:2
08.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:1

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