The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Español de San Vicente 14.8%
Draw 25.3%
Castellonense 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
26.7%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
26.3%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Español de San Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Español de San Vicente's form might have worsened.
Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellonense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de San Vicente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Español de San Vicente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellonense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Español de San Vicente - Castellonense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Bairam B. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 3, ⚽,
69', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Jove is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Castellonense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Castellonense is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jove won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Watch
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