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Current Win Probability
Ontinyent 1931 31.7%
Draw 33.2%
Castellonense 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
30.1%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
28.9%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ontinyent 1931 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ontinyent 1931 - Castellonense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Richart M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Sempere P. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
Castellonense could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ontinyent 1931 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Ontinyent 1931 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.