Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Espeleño		Cartaya

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.96	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.31	3.88
	1.91	3.39	3.73	Watch
	1.87	3.35	3.77
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.63)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.66 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
47.3%

Draw
27.8%

Cartaya
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espeleño's performance.

Cartaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espeleño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Espeleño - Cartaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Espeleño has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cartaya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Espeleño have a series of guest games.

Espeleño will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Espeleño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.03.25	Pozoblanco - Espeleño	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Espeleño - Inter Sevilla	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Sevilla C - Espeleño	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Puente Genil - Espeleño	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Ceuta B - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.03.25	Cartaya - La Palma	3:3 ✺
23.02.25	Cartaya - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Inter Sevilla - Cartaya	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Central - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.02.24	Cartaya - Espeleño	2:1
23.09.23	Espeleño - Cartaya	1:2
26.02.23	Cartaya - Espeleño	3:3
29.10.22	Espeleño - Cartaya	2:2

Espeleño - Cartaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide