Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Ceuta B		Espeleño

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.55	3.75	5.2
	1.54	3.85	5.26
	1.55	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	5.17 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta B
58.4%

Draw
24%

Espeleño
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

17.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Espeleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espeleño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta B - Espeleño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Heredia J. P. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.01.25	Ceuta B - Cartaya	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Pozoblanco - Ceuta B	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Ceuta B - Inter Sevilla	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Sevilla C - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Ceuta B - Atlético Central	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTLW
- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.01.25	Conil - Espeleño	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Espeleño - Utrera	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	San Roque de Lepe - Espeleño	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Espeleño - Bollullos	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Atlético Onubense - Espeleño	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.01.24	Ceuta B - Espeleño	1:3
09.09.23	Espeleño - Ceuta B	4:1
11.02.23	Ceuta B - Espeleño	2:1
15.10.22	Espeleño - Ceuta B	0:2

Ceuta B - Espeleño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide