Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Espeleño		Atlético Onubense

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.48	2.96	2.71
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.86)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
35.5%

Draw
30.5%

Atlético Onubense
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atlético Onubense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Onubense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Onubense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Onubense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Espeleño - Atlético Onubense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Espeleño is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Onubense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 1:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.04.25	Tomares - Espeleño	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Espeleño - Coria CF	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Córdoba B - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Espeleño - La Palma	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Espeleño - Cartaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLTT
- Atlético Onubense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.04.25	Atlético Onubense - Cartaya	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Pozoblanco - Atlético Onubense	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Atlético Onubense - Inter Sevilla	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Sevilla C - Atlético Onubense	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Onubense - Ciudad de Lucena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.12.24	Atlético Onubense - Espeleño	5:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.12.17	Atlético Onubense - Espeleño	3:2

Espeleño - Atlético Onubense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide