Match Info

Primera Divisió - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Esperança		Carroi

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.98	2.68
	2.41	2.97	2.83
	2.44	3.04	2.82	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.8
	2.39	3.33	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.88)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	2.8 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esperança
37.4%

Draw
30.1%

Carroi
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

29.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esperança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esperança's performance.

Carroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carroi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esperança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carroi than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carroi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Esperança - Carroi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
54', 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
82', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Esperança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esperança won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Esperança won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Esperanca	3	1	1	1	7:4	3	4
9	Carroi	3	0	1	2	2:8	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Esperança Andorra
Andorra Primera Divisio
28.02.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Esperança	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Esperança - Ràngers	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Esperança - Carroi	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Penya Encarnada - Esperança	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Esperança - Ordino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTTLL
- CE Carroi
Andorra Primera Divisio
01.03.26	Carroi - FC Santa Coloma	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Penya Encarnada - Carroi	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Esperança - Carroi	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Carroi - Ràngers	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Carroi - Atlètic Escaldes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Andorra Primera Divisio
15.02.26	Esperança - Carroi	0:0
16.11.25	Carroi - Esperança	2:1
27.04.24	Esperança - Carroi	2:0
20.01.24	Carroi - Esperança	0:4
26.11.23	Esperança - Carroi	0:2

Esperança - Carroi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide