Match Info

Date: 5 February 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Esperança de Lagos		Setúbal

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Esperança de Lagos
11.6%

Draw
23%

Setúbal
65.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19%

25%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

20.3%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esperança de Lagos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esperança de Lagos's form might have worsened.

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Esperança de Lagos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Setúbal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Esperança de Lagos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Setúbal is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.01.21	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Esperança de Lagos	1:0 ✺
13.01.21	Esperança de Lagos - Olhanense	0:1 ✺
06.01.21	Louletano - Esperança de Lagos	2:2 ✺
03.01.21	Esperança de Lagos - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Pinhalnovense - Esperança de Lagos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.01.21	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
23.01.21	Juventude de Évora - Setúbal	2:5 ✺
17.01.21	Setúbal - Moura	2:1 ✺
03.01.21	Setúbal - Louletano	2:2 ✺
19.12.20	Amora - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTW

Esperança de Lagos - Setúbal