Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Amora		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.25
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	1.99	3.4	3.2
	2.02	3.58	3.7
	1.99	3.52	3.34	Watch
	1.97	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.59)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.36 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amora
46.3%

Draw
26.4%

Setúbal
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

25.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amora's form might have worsened.

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Setúbal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Amora - Setúbal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Amora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Setúbal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Amora is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)

Setúbal is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Amora is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Setúbal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amora will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Amora won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Amora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
04.03.23	Moncarapachense - Amora	2:4 ✺
26.02.23	Amora - Caldas	4:2 ✺
18.02.23	Fontinhas - Amora	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Amora - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Leiria - Amora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
05.03.23	Setúbal - Belenenses	5:2 ✺
26.02.23	Real SC - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Setúbal - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Alverca - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
03.12.22	Setúbal - Amora	0:0
12.12.21	Amora - Setúbal	1:0
14.08.21	Setúbal - Amora	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.20	Amora - Setúbal	1:2

Amora - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide