Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 26

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Esperança de Lagos		Olhanense

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Esperança de Lagos
60.4%

Draw
23.8%

Olhanense
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

14.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esperança de Lagos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Olhanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esperança de Lagos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olhanense than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olhanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent matches Esperança de Lagos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olhanense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Esperança de Lagos is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esperança de Lagos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Esperança de Lagos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Esperança de Lagos	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Esperança de Lagos - Rabo de Peixe	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Angrense - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Esperança de Lagos - Atlético CP	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW
- SC Olhanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Olhanense - Imortal	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Praiense - Olhanense	5:0 ✺
18.03.23	Olhanense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Oriental Dragon - Olhanense	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Ferreiras - Olhanense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Olhanense - Esperança de Lagos	2:3
13.12.21	Esperança de Lagos - Olhanense	0:2
27.03.21	Olhanense - Esperança de Lagos	2:1
13.01.21	Esperança de Lagos - Olhanense	0:1
16.02.20	Esperança de Lagos - Olhanense	2:1

Esperança de Lagos - Olhanense