Match Info

Kakkonen Group B

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Porin Stadion (Pori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	MuSa		Espoon Palloseura

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.55
	4.25	4.20	1.54
	4.43	4.48	1.58
	4.27	4.32	1.6	Watch
	4.35	4.25	1.56
	4.40	4.25	1.57
	3.1	3.55	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.2)	4.18 ↑ (3.65)	1.6 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
21.9%

Draw
21.7%

Espoon Palloseura
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

24%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MuSa's form might have worsened.

Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espoon Palloseura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MuSa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Palloseura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MuSa - Espoon Palloseura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nordman K. (G) 45. Aloziem V. 26. Auranen O. 21. Heinila M. 3. Loytokorpi E. (C) 51. Luoma N. 40. Majaluoma O. 8. Simeon E. 30. Tahkanen M. 20. Toivanen J. 19. Weckstrom L.	30. Lehtinen L. (G) 8. Adawi O. (C) 25. Ambasciano M. 29. Haapalainen R. 9. Jouhi E. 15. Laine S. 6. Marshall P. 20. Ojakangas E. 4. Paappanen E. 70. Ruohio A. 17. Westerlund A.
Substitutes
11. Hietava E. 14. Holappa A. 2. Koponen J. (G) 18. Mannisto V. 16. Rantala A.	24. Asikainen E. 19. Gebala M. 40. Heikkila A. 21. Ljunglin M. 5. Margaritidis A. 23. Rokkonen M. 28. Ronni T. 1. Soderman S. (G) 10. Talvitie E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ambasciano M. ⚽,
38', Ambasciano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Ambasciano M. ↓, Talvitie E. ↑,
61', Heinila M. 🟨,
64', Luoma N. 🟨,
68', Marshall P. ↓, Asikainen E. ↑,
68', Jouhi E. ↓, Heikkila A. ↑,
73', Heinila M. ↓, Mannisto V. ↑,
78', Luoma N. ↓, Hietava E. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Paappanen E. ⚽,
87', Majaluoma O. ↓, Rantala A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

EPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, EPS has had a series of home games.

In this match, EPS is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, MuSa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, MuSa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
18.07.26	HJS - MuSa	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	MuSa - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Honka - MuSa	7:1 ✺
27.06.26	MuSa - P-Iirot Rauma	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Esbo Bollklubb - MuSa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWLTW
- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
18.07.26	Espoon Palloseura - NJS	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Espoon Palloseura - P-Iirot Rauma	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ilves 2 - Espoon Palloseura	4:2 ✺
27.06.26	Espoon Palloseura - Grankulla IFK	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Espoon Palloseura - Åbo IFK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
16.05.26	Espoon Palloseura - MuSa	6:1
28.08.22	Espoon Palloseura - MuSa	4:1
09.06.22	MuSa - Espoon Palloseura	0:0

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