Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Espoonlahden urheilupuisto (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Espoon Palloseura		OLS

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.1	1.7
	5	4.5	1.44
	3.7	3.95	1.7
	3.9	3.98	1.82
	3.52	3.94	1.84	Watch
	5	4.2	1.5
	4.06	3.94	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.44)	4.09 ↑ (3.94)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Palloseura
22.4%

Draw
22.5%

OLS
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

23.5%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

22.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OLS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Espoon Palloseura - OLS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - EPS (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - EPS (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. EPS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lehtinen L. (G) 19. Adawi O. 17. Ahmed M. 10. Ambasciano M. 7. Azhar L. 15. Blumme V. 33. Dubova K. 4. Gustafsson V. 49. Hussein A. 9. Pitkanen A. 8. Tella A.	58. Saarikoski J. (G) 55. Ala-Iso S. 31. Babb M. 40. Korhonen J. 51. Lamsa O. 8. Makelainen J. 15. Parkkila O. 47. Raittinen E. 6. Silas C. 48. Suutari O. 33. Tolra A.
Substitutes
32. Bister K. 14. Hautakangas P. 20. Kuittinen V. 29. Lassoued M. 38. Ojakangas E. 18. Ruusu A. 1. Tuokkola V. (G)	54. Aapajarvi A. 34. Fadera M. 57. Fyrsten M. (G) 66. Jatta K. 53. Raisanen A. 27. Saarela E. 32. Sonko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Babb M. ⚽,
32', Makelainen J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Azhar L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Makelainen J. ↓, Jatta K. ↑,
46', Lamsa O. ↓, Fadera M. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Fadera M. ⚽,
58', Ahmed M. ↓, Ojakangas E. ↑,
62', Parkkila O. ↓, Aapajarvi A. ↑,
73', Korhonen J. ↓, Sonko O. ↑,
77', Gustafsson V. ↓, Hautakangas P. ↑,
77', Tella A. ↓, Kuittinen V. ↑,
77', Pitkanen A. ↓, Ruusu A. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Suutari O. ⚽,
83', Suutari O. ↓, Saarela E. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Raittinen E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

EPS is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

OLS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

OLS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, OLS is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, EPS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
11.07.25	Espoon Palloseura - Atlantis Helsinki	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Espoon Palloseura	1:1 ✺
01.07.25	Jazz Pori - Espoon Palloseura	7:0 ✺
27.06.25	Espoon Palloseura - KuPS Akatemia	0:3 ✺
14.06.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Espoon Palloseura	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLLL
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
13.07.25	JJK Jyväskylä - OLS	1:1 ✺
07.07.25	OLS - RoPS	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	OLS - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Tampere United - OLS	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	OLS - Inter Turku II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	OLS - Espoon Palloseura	4:0
19.06.24	OLS - Espoon Palloseura	2:1
13.04.24	Espoon Palloseura - OLS	0:1

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