Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: Espoonlahden urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	Espoon Palloseura		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.25
	1.75	3.7	3.5
	1.87	3.85	3.69
				Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.7
	1.83	4.16	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.29)	3.86 ↑ (3.74)	3.5 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Palloseura
50.4%

Draw
23.6%

KuPS Akatemia
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

24.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

23.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espoon Palloseura's performance.

KuPS Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Akatemia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espoon Palloseura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Akatemia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Espoon Palloseura - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. EPS will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). KuPS Akatemia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for EPS: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. EPS (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - EPS (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. EPS (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tuokkola V. (G) 80. Aaltonen A. 19. Adawi O. 10. Ambasciano M. 7. Azhar L. 15. Blumme V. 33. Dubova K. 49. Hussein A. (C) 38. Ojakangas E. 9. Pitkanen A. 5. Saynio E.	1. Pitkanen M. (G) 9. Ahmad Al Sheikh M. 18. Balde O. 26. Baseme A. 6. Hanhineva J. 19. Kohonen L. 23. Mattila N. (C) 7. Puolitaival E. 22. Sahimaa L. 28. Tikkanen R. 11. Ylonen E.
Substitutes
17. Ahmed M. 31. Brusiin O. (G) 14. Hautakangas P. 20. Kuittinen V. 29. Lassoued M. 16. Pllana A. 18. Ruusu A. 2. Tashevci E. 8. Tella A.	12. Aimola J. (G) 35. Haarma K. 13. Kauppinen E. 15. Kivijarvi J. 8. Kivijarvi N. 10. Lemarie A. 27. Tanninen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Sahimaa L. ⚽,
30', Hussein A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Ylonen E. ⚽,
37', Dubova K. 🟨,
40', Hanhineva J. 🟨,
42', Adawi O. 🟨,
45', Mattila N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Ambasciano M. ↓, Tella A. ↑,
58', Aaltonen A. ↓, Ruusu A. ↑,
62', Ylonen E. ↓, Kivijarvi J. ↑,
62', Kohonen L. 🟨,
62', Azhar L. 🟨,
62', Pitkanen A. 🟨,
64', Kivijarvi J. 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Puolitaival E. ⚽,
75', Puolitaival E. ↓, Kauppinen E. ↑,
75', Hanhineva J. ↓, Lemarie A. ↑,
75', Saynio E. ↓, Kuittinen V. ↑,
84', Pitkanen A. ↓, Lassoued M. ↑,
84', Ojakangas E. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
85', Tikkanen R. ↓, Haarma K. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ))

EPS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KuPS Akatemia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

EPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

EPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EPS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, EPS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
14.06.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Espoon Palloseura	4:1 ✺
08.06.25	Espoon Palloseura - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	RoPS - Espoon Palloseura	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Espoon Palloseura - JJK Jyväskylä	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
18.06.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KuPS Akatemia	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	KuPS Akatemia - RoPS	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	KuPS Akatemia - Tampere United	5:0 ✺
03.06.25	Inter Turku II - KuPS Akatemia	6:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.05.25	KuPS Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
19.10.24	Espoon Palloseura - KuPS Akatemia	3:2
17.08.24	Espoon Palloseura - KuPS Akatemia	3:0
02.06.24	KuPS Akatemia - Espoon Palloseura	2:1

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