Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 9

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		EC Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.37
	2.7	2.82	2.52
	2.81	2.87	2.57	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.38	3.1	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.8)	2.93 ↓ (3)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
33.9%

Draw
31%

EC Pelotas
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

30.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - EC Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Esportivo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pelotas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pelotas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Esportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.09.26	GE Glória - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - GE Bagé	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Frederiquense - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWWT
- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
02.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - EC Pelotas	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	EC Pelotas - GE Glória	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Veranopolis - EC Pelotas	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	EC Pelotas - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Lajeadense - EC Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa FGF
12.10.25	EC Pelotas - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.04.21	EC Pelotas - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:2

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