Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 11

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		Gramadense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.10	4.40
	1.68	3.05	4.35
	1.68	3.15	5.00
	1.73	3.22	4.92	Watch
	1.66	3.10	4.95
	1.89	3.19	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.1)	3.14 ↑ (2.75)	4.64 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
51.9%

Draw
28.7%

Gramadense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

31.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esportivo Bento Gonçalves's performance.

Gramadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gramadense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esportivo Bento Gonçalves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Gramadense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In recent matches, Esportivo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gramadense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Esportivo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Esportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
09.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - EC Pelotas	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	GE Glória - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - GE Bagé	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLTW
- CE Gramadense
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
09.09.26	Passo Fundo - Gramadense	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gramadense - EC Guarani	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Aimoré - Gramadense	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Gramadense - Lajeadense	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Santa Cruz-RS - Gramadense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.06.25	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Gramadense	0:1

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