Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 7

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Philippines	Matchday+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Esteghlal		Al-Shorta Baghdad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.33	7	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.2	Watch
	1.52	4.09	6.53
	1.44	4.38	7.05	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.48	4.33	6.94	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.22 ↓ (4.55)	6.63 ↓ (7.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
63.9%

Draw
22.1%

Al-Shorta Baghdad
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.6%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

19.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	31.2%	12.5%

Esteghlal - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 11. Kojo J. 4. Cheshmi R. 6. Salimi I. 33. Jalali A. 27. Hardani S. 88. Rezavand A. 22. Ndong D. 87. Ahmadi M. 9. Azadi M. R.	22. Kareem M. (G) 27. Khudhair A. S. 23. Mouddane A. 6. Jassem S. 15. Yahia Alwan A. 9. Ali H. 30. Youssef F. 8. Hashem A. 7. Al Mawas M. 14. Moumouni B. 18. Meme (C)
Substitutes
93. Eskandari H. 28. Hasheminasab M. 91. Juma M. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 20. Koushki A. 2. Moradmand M. 14. Niknafs Z. 50. Nikpour A. (G) 55. Raphael Silva 66. Saadavi Z. 99. Sadeghi A. 44. Sohrabian A.	4. Al Tekreeti M. Y. H. 5. Amin R. 36. Banga S. C. 1. Basil A. (G) 24. Faisal Jasim 10. Farhan A. 29. Mohammed Dawood 25. Qasim A. 12. Raed H. 11. Shakir B. 28. Souza L. 31. Zero A.
Coaches
Bakhtiarizadeh S.	Salah Alwan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kojo J. ⚽, Jalali A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jassem S. ↓, Amin R. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Amin R. ⚽, Al Mawas M. (A),
58', Azadi M. R. ↓, Koushki A. ↑,
69', Salimi I. ↓, Sohrabian A. ↑,
73', Moumouni B. ↓, Shakir B. ↑,
87', Ali H. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
87', Al Mawas M. ↓, Souza L. ↑,
87', Ahmadi M. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
90+11', Youssef F. 🟨,
90+11', Youssef F. ↓, Qasim A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Esteghlal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al-Shorta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Shorta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Esteghlal is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
30.01.25	Esteghlal - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Malavan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
02.01.25	Esteghlal - Sepahan	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLTT
- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
30.01.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2 ✺
24.01.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Karbala - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
14.01.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	3:3 ✺
10.01.25	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTWTT

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