Match Info

Stars League - Round 15

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	6.75
	1.32	4.45	8.1
	1.23	5.18	8.96
	1.27	5.03	9.13	Watch
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.26	4.95	9.4	Watch
	1.27	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	4.79 ↑ (4.33)	8.41 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
70.4%

Draw
18.9%

Naft Maysan
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.8%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.3%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Al Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Leonel Ateba ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Al Mawas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 2 - 1, Hachem R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 4.

Al-Shorta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naft Maysan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Al-Shorta will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shorta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	5	15
14	Naft Missan	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
23.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:7 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Zakho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWWW
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
23.01.26	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Naft Maysan - Zakho	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Najaf - Naft Maysan	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Naft Maysan - Diyala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
13.03.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:4
14.01.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	3:3
30.05.24	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:3
04.03.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	3:0
23.02.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	3:0
12.12.21	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	2:0

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