Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Najaf		Al-Shorta Baghdad

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.15	1.35
	7.29	4.26	1.35
	7.47	4.42	1.36	Watch
	9	3.8	1.33
	9.45	4.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.14 ↑ (6.95)	4.15 ↑ (3.96)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
11.1%

Draw
21.8%

Al-Shorta Baghdad
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

23.1%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

22.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Najaf - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Shakir B. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Farhan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, Sambou B. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, Ridha F. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0.

Recent form of Najaf has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Shorta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Shorta is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	Diyala - Najaf	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Najaf - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Al-Naft - Najaf	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Najaf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLTL
- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:3 ✺
26.03.26	Zakho - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Talaba	3:3 ✺
12.03.26	Al Mosul - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	2:1
12.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	1:0
10.01.25	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:0
01.07.24	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2
19.12.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	2:0
25.06.23	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:5
02.02.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	1:0

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