Match Info

Hazfi Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Esteghlal		Sanat Naft

	1	X	2
	1.37	3.8	8.5
	1.37	3.85	9.2
	1.38	3.76	9.2	Watch
	1.37	3.85	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	3.82 ↓ (3.95)	9.03 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
66.1%

Draw
23.8%

Sanat Naft
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

23.5%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

20.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Esteghlal - Sanat Naft Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hosseini H. (C) 27. Hardani S. 55. Raphael Silva 44. Sohrabian A. 33. Jalali A. 4. Cheshmi R. 88. Rezavand A. 10. Rezaeian R. 80. Eslami M. 20. Koushki A. 91. Juma M.	. Maleki K. (G) . Baghlani H. . Ghahremani E. . Sangargir H. . Karimzadeh M. . Khorasani M. . Zebarjad K. . Seifi M. . Mojadami M. . Amiri M. . Shanani H.
Substitutes
87. Ahmadi M. 9. Azadi M. R. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 11. Kojo J. 77. Masharipov J. 2. Moradmand M. 14. Niknafs Z. 99. Sadeghi A. 6. Salimi I. 15. Zamani A. 72. Zoleikhaei A.	. Afzali P. . Babadi A. . Bachari A. . Hashemi A. (G) . Kamandani M. . Moghanlou R. . Rikani T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Khorasani M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Koushki A. ⚽, Rezaeian R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Juma M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 4.

In recent matches, Esteghlal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanat Naft is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Esteghlal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Esteghlal is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:9. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
15.05.25	Sepahan - Esteghlal	3:1 ✺
08.05.25	Esteghlal - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak	5:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
26.04.25	Esteghlal - Paykan	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
21.04.25	Esteghlal - Havadar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWWT
- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
18.05.25	Ario Eslamshahr - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
12.05.25	Sanat Naft - Paykan	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Sanat Naft - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
26.04.25	Sanat Naft - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
Iran Division 1
16.04.25	Sanat Naft - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
16.02.24	Esteghlal - Sanat Naft	1:0
10.08.23	Sanat Naft - Esteghlal	0:3
05.05.23	Esteghlal - Sanat Naft	1:1
25.12.22	Sanat Naft - Esteghlal	0:1
11.03.22	Esteghlal - Sanat Naft	1:0
29.11.21	Sanat Naft - Esteghlal	1:1
24.05.21	Sanat Naft - Esteghlal	0:1

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