The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esteghlal 57.3%
Draw 28.5%
Aluminium Arak 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
31.4%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
33.9%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.
Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminium Arak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Esteghlal - Aluminium Arak Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
76. Farabbasi H. (G) 2. Hardani S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 19. Fallah S. 27. Goudarzi H. 8. Razzaghinia A. 88. Ahmadi M. 70. Asani J. 17. Munir El Haddadi 20. Koushki A. 11. Saharkhizan S.
1. Khalifeh M. (G) 26. Norouzifard B. 41. Jorjani Y. 13. Mahdavi M. 2. Goudarzi B. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 9. Mehdipour M. 18. Ghanbari A. 80. Kahrizi A. 78. Jafari R. 11. Marzban R.
Substitutes
1. Adan A. (G) 23. Aghasi A. 7. Azadi M. R. 80. Eslami M. 55. Gholami A. 87. Gholizadeh E. 33. Jalali A. 9. Nazon D. 22. Ndong D. 10. Rezaeian R. 15. Zamani A.
70. Badragheh M. 90. Ezhdehakosh K. 17. Hosseini S. 4. Houshmand A. 23. Kamandlou A. 57. Khodayarifard M. 30. Rezaei A. 7. Reza Hosseini S. M. 3. Sokhtanloo A. 88. Tayefeh M. (G) 77. Vatandoust A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Asani J. (Pen),
19', Goudarzi B. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Munir El Haddadi ⚽, Koushki A. (A),
45+5', Marzban R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Jafari R. (Pen),
58', Farabbasi H. ↓, Adan A. ↑,
58', Ahmadi M. ↓, Ndong D. ↑,
60', Marzban R. 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Koushki A. ⚽, Munir El Haddadi (A),
78', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Nazon D. ↑,
79', Ashurmatov R. 🟨,
86', Hardani S. ↓, Rezaeian R. ↑,
86', Ashurmatov R. ↓, Gholami A. ↑,
87', Ghanbari A. ↓, Khodayarifard M. ↑,
87', Jafari R. ↓, Hosseini S. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 4.
Esteghlal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aluminium Arak is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Esteghlal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Esteghlal is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.2:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
Watch
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Farabbasi H. (G) 
Ashurmatov R. 
Asani J. 
Munir El Haddadi 
Adan A. (G) 
Nazon D. 
Ndong D. 
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