Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 22

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Esteghlal		Havadar

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	7.5
	1.31	4.6	10
	1.29	4.57	10.61
	1.3	4.5	10.53	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.3	4.65	10.1	Watch
	1.31	4.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	4.43 ↑ (3.75)	9.32 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
69.3%

Draw
20.8%

Havadar
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

22%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Esteghlal - Havadar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hosseini H. (C) 10. Rezaeian R. 55. Raphael Silva 44. Sohrabian A. 33. Jalali A. 88. Rezavand A. 4. Cheshmi R. 22. Ndong D. 77. Masharipov J. 9. Azadi M. R. 11. Kojo J.	12. Shakouri A. (G) 14. Rahmati K. 44. Sattari M. 23. Millar M. 66. Khodaei M. 75. Mehraban H. 11. Shojaeian D. 8. Masoumi M. E. 4. Haghdoost M. 45. Sadeghi M. H. 99. Eslami K.
Substitutes
70. Behraminejad M. 93. Eskandari H. 80. Eslami M. 28. Hasheminasab M. 91. Juma M. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 14. Niknafs Z. 66. Saadavi Z. 99. Sadeghi A. 15. Zamani A. 72. Zoleikhaei A.	7. Ahmadi M. 70. Asadi A. 78. Daryabari M. 35. Jafari Y. 13. Mahdavi M. 37. Mansouri M. 6. Mohebi S. 67. Rahmani E. 47. Sadeghnejad A. 16. Tahmasebi M. 21. Zavari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Rezaeian R. ⚽, Jalali A. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Shojaeian D. ⚽, Sattari M. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Sadeghi M. H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kojo J. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Rahmati K. (Own goal),
59', Mehraban H. ↓, Zavari M. ↑,
78', Shojaeian D. 🟨,
82', Eslami K. ↓, Ahmadi M. ↑,
85', Azadi M. R. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
89', Haghdoost M. ↓, Sadeghnejad A. ↑,
89', Shojaeian D. ↓, Mohebi S. ↑,
89', Rezavand A. ↓, Sadeghi A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 5.

Esteghlal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Havadar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 7 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:5 (average 2.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
16.04.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
10.04.25	Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Esteghlal - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTT
- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
16.04.25	Havadar - Mes Rafsanjan	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Havadar - Malavan	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Havadar	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Havadar - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
05.10.24	Havadar - Esteghlal	1:2
17.03.24	Havadar - Esteghlal	0:1
20.10.23	Esteghlal - Havadar	3:2
15.04.23	Esteghlal - Havadar	6:1
28.10.22	Havadar - Esteghlal	0:1
04.02.22	Havadar - Esteghlal	1:2
20.10.21	Esteghlal - Havadar	1:0

Upcoming Matches