Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Chooka Talesh

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.87	4.6
	1.69	2.85	5.2
	1.7	2.93	5.47
	1.72	3.04	5.3
	1.72	2.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)	2.93 ↓ (3.17)	5.19 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
52.1%

Draw
30.6%

Chooka Talesh
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

28.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Chooka Talesh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal Khuzestan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chooka Talesh than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15).

Recent matches Esteghlal Khuzestan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chooka Talesh is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Esteghlal Khuzestan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Esteghlal Khuzestan is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Division 1
31.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:3 ✺
19.10.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Pars Jonoubi Jam	3:1 ✺
12.10.22	Shahrdari Astara - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
06.10.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - SaiPa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTT
- Chooka Talesh
Iran Division 1
25.10.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Chooka Talesh	2:1 ✺
18.10.22	Chooka Talesh - Fajr Sepasi	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Chooka Talesh	3:0 ✺
06.10.22	Chooka Talesh - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Shahrdari Astara - Chooka Talesh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
13.04.21	Chooka Talesh - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:3
05.12.20	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Chooka Talesh	0:0

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