Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Sardar Azadegan Stadium (Qazvin)


	Shams Azar Qazvin		Esteghlal Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.82	2.78
	2.67	2.88	2.82	Watch
	2.1	2.6	4
	1.97	2.8	4.04	Watch
	1.96	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.67)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	3.53 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shams Azar Qazvin
40.6%

Draw
33.1%

Esteghlal Khuzestan
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

31.5%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shams Azar Qazvin's performance.

Esteghlal Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esteghlal Khuzestan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shams Azar Qazvin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esteghlal Khuzestan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Baghaki S. D. ↓, Farhadi A. ↑,
64', Fadakar S. ↓, Aghamohammadi M. ↑,
64', Shojaeian D. ↓, Nesaei A. ↑,
78', Pourshijani A. ↓, Sharifi M. ↑,
78', Zavari M. ↓, Rostami A. ↑,
84', Mamizadeh M. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
86', Bahiraei H. ↓, Fazooni R. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 0.

Shams Azar Qazvin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Esteghlal Khuzestan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shams Azar Qazvin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Esteghlal Khuzestan	7	1	3	3	4:9	-5	6
16	Shams Azar Qazvin	7	1	2	4	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
26.12.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Zob Ahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:1 ✺
04.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTTTL
- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
25.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
19.08.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1
06.02.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0
13.09.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:2
15.02.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0
09.08.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1
Iran Division 1
05.04.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:1
31.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1

Upcoming Matches