Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.65	3.4
	2.22	2.45	3.7
	2.32	2.4	3.77
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	2.18	2.66	3.78
	2.27	2.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)	3.61 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
40.1%

Draw
35%

SaiPa
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

34.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

33.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Esteghlal Khuzestan - SaiPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Esteghlal Khuzestan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Esteghlal Khuzestan won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Esteghlal Khuzestan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Division 1
28.09.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
21.09.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Darya Babol - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
07.09.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTWTT
- SaiPa FC
Iran Division 1
28.09.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	0:0 ✺
20.09.22	SaiPa - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
13.09.22	Pars Jonoubi Jam - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	SaiPa - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Shahrdari Astara - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
21.02.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - SaiPa	1:2
16.10.21	SaiPa - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1
Iran Pro League
11.05.19	Esteghlal Khuzestan - SaiPa	1:2
30.11.18	SaiPa - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1
05.01.18	SaiPa - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:2
10.08.17	Esteghlal Khuzestan - SaiPa	1:2
15.04.17	Esteghlal Khuzestan - SaiPa	0:0

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