Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Estepona		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.3	4.25
	1.88	3.24	4.22
	1.89	3.18	4.15
	1.9	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.2 ↑ (2.9)	4.06 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
48.8%

Draw
28.6%

Alcorcón B
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

31.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

29.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Estepona - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Estepona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Estepona	3:2 ✺
19.02.23	Estepona - Montijo	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Coria - Estepona	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Estepona - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTT
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Madrid B	3:3 ✺
19.02.23	Unión Adarve - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alcorcón B - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Socuéllamos - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Alcorcón B - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Alcorcón B - Estepona	1:2

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