Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Estepona		El Palo

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.1	5
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.67	3.31	5.64
	1.67	3.31	5.64
	1.69	3.48	5.04
	1.68	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	5.25 ↓ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
54.6%

Draw
27.9%

El Palo
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

28%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

27.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Estepona - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Viana M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Lopez Javier ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Estepona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estepona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Estepona - Vélez	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Sevilla B - Estepona	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Estepona - San Roque de Lepe	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Estepona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWT
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	El Palo - Manchego	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Águilas - El Palo	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	El Palo - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Betis B - El Palo	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	El Palo - La Unión	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	El Palo - Estepona	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.02.21	Estepona - El Palo	0:0
25.10.20	El Palo - Estepona	2:0

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