Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 1
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV, Sportklub 5
Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Estonia	ETV 2
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1, Sportklub 5
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, MaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Estonia		Azerbaijan

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45
	3	3.1	2.5
	3	3.1	2.5
	3.17	3.1	2.52
	3.08	3.03	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.38
	3.19	3.25	2.53	Watch
	3	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.63)	3.11 ↓ (3.22)	2.48 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Estonia
31.1%

Draw
30.5%

Azerbaijan
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Azerbaijan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	52.4%	14.3%

Estonia - Azerbaijan Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Azerbaijan will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hein K. (G) Valladolid 13. Paskotsi M. Grasshoppers 16. Tamm J. Botev Plovdiv 18. Mets K. (C) St. Pauli 3. Schjonning-Larsen M. Levadia 11. Ainsalu M. Levadia 5. Shein R. R. Dordrecht 15. Yakovlev I. Levadia 4. Kait M. Rapid Bucuresti 23. Sinyavskiy V. Slovacko 8. Anier H. Lee Man Warriors	1. Dzhenetov M. (G) SumQayit FK 22. Huseynov A. (C) Qarabag Agdam 13. Mammadov R. Radomiak Radom 15. Huseynov B. Qarabag Agdam 5. Kryvotsiuk A. Daejeon 20. Isayev A. Qarabag Agdam 7. Diniyev C. Bandirmaspor 3. Cafarquliyev E. Qarabag Agdam 17. Bayramov T. Qarabag Agdam 9. Dadashov R. Ankaragucu 11. Sheydayev R. Neftci Baku
Substitutes
1. Igonen M. (G) Botev Plovdiv 14. Kristal P. Paide Linnameeskond 2. Kuusk M. GKS Katowice 19. Lilander M. Paide Linnameeskond 17. Miller M. Bohemians 6. Peetson R. Levadia 20. Poom M. Shamrock Rovers 7. Saarma R. Paide Linnameeskond 9. Sorga E. Ho Chi Minh 22. Vallner K. A. (G) Levadia 21. Vetkal M. Brommapojkarna 10. Zenjov S. Flora	16. Abdullayev V. Araz PFK 14. Ahmadzada R. Zira FK 21. Aliyev Q. Zira FK 2. Aliyev S. Turan 4. Aliyev Z. KF Egnatia 12. Bayramov A. (G) Zira FK 23. Cafarov R. (G) 10. Emreli M. Nurnberg 6. Kokcu O. HJK 8. Mahmudov E. Neftci Baku 19. Nacafov K. Turan 18. Nuriyev C. Zira FK
Coaches
Henn J.	Santos F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
29', Paskotsi M. ↓, Peetson R. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Yakovlev I. ⚽,
37', Shein R. R. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Bayramov T. (Pen),
45+2', 2 - 1, Sinyavskiy V. ⚽, Shein R. R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Anier H. 🟨,
64', Bayramov T. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
64', Diniyev C. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
68', Yakovlev I. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
68', Anier H. ↓, Sorga E. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Shein R. R. ⚽, Ainsalu M. (A),
76', Isayev A. ↓, Mahmudov E. ↑,
76', Huseynov A. ↓, Aliyev Q. ↑,
82', Dadashov R. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
84', Shein R. R. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
84', Kait M. ↓, Poom M. ↑,

Preview

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estonia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia
UEFA Nations League
08.09.24	Sweden - Estonia	3:0 ✺
05.09.24	Estonia - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
Baltic Cup
11.06.24	Lithuania - Estonia	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Estonia - Faroe Islands	4:1 ✺
Friendly
04.06.24	Switzerland - Estonia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL
- Azerbaijan
UEFA Nations League
08.09.24	Slovakia - Azerbaijan	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Azerbaijan - Sweden	1:3 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Azerbaijan - Kazakhstan	3:2 ✺
07.06.24	Albania - Azerbaijan	3:1 ✺
25.03.24	Azerbaijan - Bulgaria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
13.10.23	Estonia - Azerbaijan	0:2
17.06.23	Azerbaijan - Estonia	1:1
Friendly
15.11.13	Estonia - Azerbaijan	2:1

Estonia - Azerbaijan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide