Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Berke B. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, FuboTV
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Azerbaijan		Sweden

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.1	1.53
	5.75	4.2	1.55
	6	4.33	1.5
	6.26	4.34	1.53
	6.07	4.27	1.54	Watch
	6	4	1.5
	6.89	4.4	1.54	Watch
	6	4.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (5.25)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Azerbaijan
15.4%

Draw
22.3%

Sweden
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.1%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azerbaijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.8%	6.8%	86.4%

Azerbaijan - Sweden Predictions

Users Predictions: Sweden will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dzhenetov M. (G) SumQayit FK 22. Huseynov A. Qarabag Agdam 4. Mustafazada B. Qarabag Agdam 15. Huseynov B. Qarabag Agdam 3. Cafarquliyev E. Qarabag Agdam 20. Isayev A. Qarabag Agdam 8. Mahmudov E. (C) Neftci Baku 7. Diniyev C. Bandirmaspor 11. Sheydayev R. Neftci Baku 9. Dadashov R. Ankaragucu 17. Bayramov T. Qarabag Agdam	12. Johansson V. (G) Stoke City 3. Wahlqvist L. Pogon Szczecin 2. Douglas A. Lech Poznan 4. Hien I. Atalanta 6. Augustinsson L. Anderlecht 19. Svanberg M. Wolfsburg 18. Ayari Y. Brighton 21. Kulusevski D. (C) Tottenham 9. Isak A. Newcastle Utd 11. Elanga A. Nottingham 17. Gyokeres V. Sporting Lisbon
Substitutes
14. Akhmedadze R. 19. Akhundzade N. Qarabag Agdam 5. Aliyev S. Turan 1. Cafarov R. (G) 16. Camalov E. Sabah Baku 12. Imanov Y. (G) Sabah Baku 10. Kokcu O. HJK 13. Mammadov R. Radomiak Radom 6. Mustafaev E. Polissya Zhytomyr 21. Nacafov K. Turan 18. Nuriyev C. Zira FK 2. Seydiyev A. Sabah Baku	7. Bergvall L. Tottenham 8. Cajuste J. Ipswich 16. Eliasson N. AEK 5. Kurtulus E. Ludogorets 20. Larsson H. Eintracht Frankfurt 22. Nanasi S. Strasbourg 10. Nilsson G. Club Brugge 23. Nordfeldt K. (G) AIK 14. Saletros A. AIK 13. Sema K. Watford 15. Starfelt C. Celta Vigo 1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) Derby
Coaches
Santos F.	Tomasson J. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+7', Sheydayev R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Elanga A. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
49', Dadashov R. 🟨,
59', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
64', Svanberg M. ↓, Saletros A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Isak A. ⚽, Gyokeres V. (A),
69', Mahmudov E. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Isak A. ⚽, Gyokeres V. (A),
72', Ayari Y. ↓, Starfelt C. ↑,
72', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
72', Douglas A. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
75', Diniyev C. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
79', Dzhenetov M. 🟨,
80', 0 - 3, Gyokeres V. (Pen),
82', 1 - 3, Dadashov R. ⚽, Bayramov T. (A),
83', Huseynov A. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
83', Sheydayev R. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
83', Isayev A. ↓, Camalov E. ↑,
90+1', Starfelt C. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Sweden is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Azerbaijan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azerbaijan
Friendly
11.06.24	Azerbaijan - Kazakhstan	3:2 ✺
07.06.24	Albania - Azerbaijan	3:1 ✺
25.03.24	Azerbaijan - Bulgaria	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Azerbaijan - Mongolia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Euro
19.11.23	Belgium - Azerbaijan	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWL
- Sweden
Friendly
08.06.24	Sweden - Serbia	0:3 ✺
05.06.24	Denmark - Sweden	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Sweden - Albania	1:0 ✺
21.03.24	Portugal - Sweden	5:2 ✺
12.01.24	Sweden - Estonia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
16.11.23	Azerbaijan - Sweden	3:0
27.03.23	Sweden - Azerbaijan	5:0

Azerbaijan - Sweden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide