Match Info

Baltic Cup - Final

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)


	Estonia		Lithuania

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.88
	2.95	2.90	2.25
	2.48	3.05	2.98
	2.62	2.92	2.52
	2.31	3.32	3.04	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.3	3.26	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.37)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	2.78 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia
36.9%

Draw
30%

Lithuania
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

30.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estonia's performance.

Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lithuania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Estonia - Lithuania Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hein K. (G) Werder Bremen 17. Kreida V. Flora 3. Kolobov M. Flora 2. Kuusk M. GKS Katowice 26. Tougjas E. Halmstad 23. Sinyavskiy V. Ostrava 7. Saarma R. FK Pardubice 14. Kristal P. Koln 8. Soomets M. Start 5. Shein R. R. Fredrikstad 16. Varjund T. Flora	12. Svedkauskas T. (G) FK Kauno Zalgiris 8. Remeikis M. FC Hegelmann 4. Kloniunas E. Transinvest 3. Utkus E. Al Kholood 18. Armalas V. MTK Budapest 13. Lasickas J. (C) Rijeka 17. Sluta D. Transinvest 6. Vorobjovas M. Istanbulspor AS 15. Gineitis G. Torino 22. Magdusauskas V. Banga 14. Kucys A. Celje
Substitutes
19. Hussar K. Trencin 4. Kait K. Portimonense 13. Kait M. Thun 22. Kivila K. (G) Flora 24. Liivak F. Levadia 25. Mannilaan M. Kalju 21. Miller M. Paide Linnameeskond 11. Mustmaa K. PAOK 10. Palumets K. Podbrezova 6. Peetson R. Levadia 12. Perk H. (G) Kalju 20. Poom M. Trencin 18. Tammik T. Levadia 9. Yakovlev I. Panionios	5. Baltrunas Z. Suduva 21. Burba M. FK Kauno Zalgiris 7. Jankauskas E. H. Ironi Rishon 10. Kalinauskas T. Roda 16. Michelbrink L. Energie Cottbus 9. Mikulenas M. Suduva 11. Novikovas A. Riteriai 23. Plukas I. (G) Suduva 20. Sveikauskas R. Transinvest 24. Venckus I. Banga 1. Voitinovicius A. (G) Benfica
Coaches
Henn J.	Jankauskas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Gineitis G. 🟨,
31', Kristal P. 🟨,
40', Magdusauskas V. 🟨,
42', Saarma R. 🟨,
44', Sinyavskiy V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Jankauskas E. ↑,
46', Remeikis M. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
54', Armalas V. 🟨,
56', Vorobjovas M. 🟨,
62', Soomets M. ↓, Kait M. ↑,
65', Sluta D. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
71', Varjund T. ↓, Mustmaa K. ↑,
71', Saarma R. ↓, Liivak F. ↑,
74', Utkus E. 🟨,
75', Vorobjovas M. ↓, Michelbrink L. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Mustmaa K. ⚽, Kait M. (A),
82', Shein R. R. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
82', Kloniunas E. ↓, Venckus I. ↑,
85', Palumets K. 🟨,
86', Kucys A. 🟨,
90+3', Jankauskas E. 🟨,
90+5', Michelbrink L. 🟨,
90+5', Kalinauskas T. 🟨,

Preview

Lithuania is ranked FIFA: 148. Estonia is ranked FIFA: 129.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 1.

Estonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia
Baltic Cup
06.06.26	Estonia - Faroe Islands	1:0 ✺
FIFA Series
30.03.26	Rwanda - Estonia	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Kenya - Estonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Cyprus - Estonia	2:4 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.11.25	Norway - Estonia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWL
- Lithuania
Baltic Cup
06.06.26	Lithuania - Latvia	2:1 penalties ✺
Friendly
29.03.26	Lithuania - Georgia	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Moldova - Lithuania	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Netherlands - Lithuania	4:0 ✺
Friendly
13.11.25	Lithuania - Israel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Baltic Cup
11.06.24	Lithuania - Estonia	1:1
19.11.22	Estonia - Lithuania	2:0
01.06.21	Lithuania - Estonia	0:1
Friendly
07.10.20	Estonia - Lithuania	1:3
Baltic Cup
30.05.18	Estonia - Lithuania	2:0
29.05.16	Lithuania - Estonia	2:0
UEFA Euro
05.09.15	Estonia - Lithuania	1:0

Estonia - Lithuania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide