Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 8

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estoril U23		Farense U23

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.62
	2.47	3.42	2.72
	2.47	3.54	2.62	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.6
	2.38	3.72	2.63	Watch
	2.43	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.55)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril U23
37.9%

Draw
27%

Farense U23
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Farense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Estoril U23 - Farense U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Estoril U23 will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Farense U23 will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 2.

Estoril U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Farense U23 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Farense U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Farense U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril U23 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Estoril U23	7	3	4	0	16:12	4	13
6	SC Farense U23	7	3	2	2	11:11	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
05.03.26	Maritimo U23 - Estoril U23	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Estoril U23	0:0 ✺
19.02.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Estoril U23	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Estoril U23 - Maritimo U23	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWL
- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.03.26	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Farense U23 - Vizela U23	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Vizela U23 - Farense U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
05.11.25	Farense U23 - Estoril U23	1:0
21.08.25	Estoril U23 - Farense U23	0:2
17.12.24	Estoril U23 - Farense U23	1:0
30.09.24	Farense U23 - Estoril U23	2:3
31.10.23	Farense U23 - Estoril U23	1:1
15.08.23	Estoril U23 - Farense U23	2:1
06.12.22	Farense U23 - Estoril U23	4:1

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