Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 12

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Farense U23		Rio Ave U23

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.35	3
	2.2	3.55	3.09
	1.94	3.71	3.52	Watch
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.18	3.63	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.78)	3.5 ↓ (3.83)	3.1 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense U23
43.9%

Draw
26.4%

Rio Ave U23
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farense U23's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farense U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave U23 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense U23 won 3.

Farense U23 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rio Ave U23 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Farense U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Farense U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Farense U23 is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Farense U23 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Farense U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Rio Ave U23	7	3	3	1	8:5	3	12
6	SC Farense U23	7	3	2	2	11:11	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
02.03.26	Farense U23 - Vizela U23	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Vizela U23 - Farense U23	1:4 ✺
03.02.26	Farense U23 - Maritimo U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWL
- Rio Ave U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Vizela U23	3:2 ✺
19.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Leiria U23	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Ave U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Portimonense U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.01.26	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	2:3
04.03.25	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	0:3
06.01.25	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:1
09.04.24	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:2
06.02.24	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	6:2
13.04.23	Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:0
23.03.23	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	2:0

Farense U23 - Rio Ave U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide