Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 16

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estoril U23		Rio Ave U23

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.55	2.82
	2.42	3.74	2.57	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2.35	3.55	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.82)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.65 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril U23
40.3%

Draw
25.4%

Rio Ave U23
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estoril U23's performance.

Rio Ave U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Ave U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave U23 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril U23 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Estoril U23	7	3	4	0	16:12	4	13
4	Rio Ave U23	7	3	3	1	8:5	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
29.01.26	Estoril U23 - Vizela U23	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estoril U23	2:3 ✺
19.01.26	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Estoril U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:2 ✺
22.12.25	Benfica U23 - Estoril U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- Rio Ave U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
28.01.26	Maritimo U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Vizela U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	Rio Ave U23 - Leixões U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
18.02.22	Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:0
12.02.22	Rio Ave U23 - Estoril U23	0:2
29.11.19	Rio Ave U23 - Estoril U23	3:1
19.08.19	Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:2
01.05.19	Rio Ave U23 - Estoril U23	1:2
16.03.19	Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:2
23.11.18	Estoril U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:0

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