Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estoril U23		Portimonense U23

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.25	2.98
	2.15	3.58	3.07	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.13	3.32	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	3.32 ↓ (3.48)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril U23
42.8%

Draw
27.3%

Portimonense U23
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Portimonense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, ⚽,
61', 🟥,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Portimonense U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Estoril U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril U23 won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:8. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Estoril U23	7	3	4	0	16:12	4	13
19	Portimonense U23	7	0	4	3	4:9	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Portimonense U23 - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
06.01.26	Estoril U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:2 ✺
22.12.25	Benfica U23 - Estoril U23	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Estoril U23	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Estoril U23 - Leiria U23	2:2 ✺
01.12.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTL
- Portimonense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.01.26	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
22.12.25	Portimonense U23 - Farense U23	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Portimonense U23 - Santa Clara U23	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Benfica U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
17.11.25	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	0:0
21.10.25	Portimonense U23 - Estoril U23	2:1
10.12.24	Portimonense U23 - Estoril U23	3:0
22.09.24	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	3:0
28.11.23	Portimonense U23 - Estoril U23	4:0
29.08.23	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	4:2
Portuguese Taca Revelacao U23
06.05.23	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	3:2

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