Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Estradense		Alondras

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.98	3.13
	1.45	4.35	6.18	Watch
	2.25	3.04	3.1
	2.3	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	3.83 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
46.5%

Draw
28.4%

Alondras
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estradense's performance.

Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alondras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alondras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estradense - Alondras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Caraban P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Pedrosa D. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Pedrosa D. ⚽,
87', 🟥,
90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Estradense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Estradense - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Lugo B - Estradense	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Estradense - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Silva SD - Estradense	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Estradense - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Bergantiños - Estradense	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWWL
- Alondras CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Alondras - Somozas	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Montañeros - Alondras	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Arteixo - Alondras	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Alondras - Noia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.02.25	Estradense - Alondras	0:1
12.10.24	Alondras - Estradense	0:2
31.03.24	Estradense - Alondras	2:0
12.11.23	Alondras - Estradense	1:1
18.02.23	Alondras - Estradense	1:2
23.10.22	Estradense - Alondras	0:0
23.01.22	Estradense - Alondras	1:1

Estradense - Alondras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide