Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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Estradense |
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Barbadás |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.47 |
3.8 |
5.9 |
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 |
1.48 |
3.85 |
6.16 |
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1.53 |
3.83 |
5.99 |
 Watch |
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1.44 |
3.5 |
6.5 |
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1.44 |
3.75 |
7.12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47
(1.47) |
3.75 ↓
(3.9) |
6.33 ↓
(6.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Estradense
61.5% | Draw
24.2% | Barbadás
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+2%)Estradense - Barbadás Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Mella M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Porrua P. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).Estradense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Barbadás's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Estradense is the obvious favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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