Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday
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Estradense |
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Silva SD |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.62 |
3.3 |
5.15 |
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1.62 |
3.52 |
5.34 |
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1.00 |
13.05 |
25.00 |
Watch |
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1.57 |
3.44 |
5.75 |
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1.61 |
3.4 |
5.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.59) |
5.34 ↑ (3.45) |
9.31 ↑ (5.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Estradense 69.6% | Draw 19.3% | Silva SD 11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estradense's performance.Silva SD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Silva SD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silva SD than the current prediction. (+4.6%)Estradense - Silva SD Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 67', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Silva SD may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Estradense is a strong favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.4:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Estradense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
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| 15 | Silva SD | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 28.09.25 | Silva SD - Estradense | 0:1 | | 15.02.25 | Silva SD - Estradense | 0:0 | | 06.10.24 | Estradense - Silva SD | 0:0 | | 11.02.24 | Silva SD - Estradense | 0:1 | | 24.09.23 | Estradense - Silva SD | 0:2 | | 25.03.23 | Silva SD - Estradense | 1:2 | | 03.12.22 | Estradense - Silva SD | 3:1 |
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