Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Estradense		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.43	2.95	2.5
	2.5	3.05	2.48
	2.79	3.01	2.38
	2.6	2.88	2.62
	2.81	3.02	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.32)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
34.8%

Draw
29.7%

Ourense CF
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

19.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense CF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estradense - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

Estradense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ourense CF is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estradense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Estradense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.12.21	Choco - Estradense	2:4 ✺
28.11.21	Estradense - Polvorín	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Viveiro - Estradense	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	RC Villalbes - Estradense	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Estradense - Rápido de Bouzas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
04.12.21	Ourense CF - Silva SD	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Somozas - Ourense CF	4:2 ✺
07.11.21	Ourense CF - Alondras	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Barco - Ourense CF	1:2 ✺
12.10.21	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
29.09.19	Estradense - Ourense CF	2:3

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