Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CAPIXABA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday


	Estrela do Norte		Vitória ES

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	4.13	3.24	1.87
	4.15	3.32	1.84
	3.75	3.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.26)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	1.9 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estrela do Norte
23.5%

Draw
28.4%

Vitória ES
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela do Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela do Norte than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela do Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12%	88%

Estrela do Norte - Vitória ES Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitória ES will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estrela do Norte won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vitória ES could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vitória ES will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Estrela do Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Estrela do Norte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela do Norte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
11.03.23	Noroeste - Estrela do Norte	3:2 ✺
06.03.23	Estrela do Norte - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
23.02.23	Porto Vitória - Estrela do Norte	1:0 ✺
16.02.23	Estrela do Norte - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
09.02.23	Itapemirim - Estrela do Norte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTW
- Vitória ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
11.03.23	Itapemirim - Vitória ES	0:5 ✺
04.03.23	Vitória ES - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Vitória ES - Rio Branco AC ES	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.02.23	Vitória ES - Remo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
16.02.23	Nova Venécia - Vitória ES	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
06.02.23	Estrela do Norte - Vitória ES	1:3
07.04.22	Estrela do Norte - Vitória ES	1:4
02.04.22	Vitória ES - Estrela do Norte	2:0
12.03.22	Vitória ES - Estrela do Norte	4:2
28.04.21	Vitória ES - Estrela do Norte	1:2
12.02.20	Estrela do Norte - Vitória ES	1:2

Estrela do Norte - Vitória ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide