Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CAPIXABA - ROUND 8

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Estrela do Norte		Vilavelhense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.85	3.24	4.11
	1.82	3.44	4.1
	1.84	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	3.28 ↑ (3.28)	4.05 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela do Norte
49.8%

Draw
27.7%

Vilavelhense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela do Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela do Norte than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Estrela do Norte is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela do Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela do Norte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
23.02.23	Porto Vitória - Estrela do Norte	1:0 ✺
16.02.23	Estrela do Norte - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
09.02.23	Itapemirim - Estrela do Norte	0:2 ✺
06.02.23	Estrela do Norte - Vitória ES	1:3 ✺
31.01.23	Rio Branco AC ES - Estrela do Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTWLL
- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.02.23	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Vilavelhense - Porto Vitória	1:4 ✺
10.02.23	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	2:2 ✺
04.02.23	Vilavelhense - Itapemirim	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.02.22	Vilavelhense - Estrela do Norte	0:4

Estrela do Norte - Vilavelhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide