Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Estrella		Lanzarote

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.82
	3.6	3.55	1.85
	4.17	3.38	1.78
	3.6	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.48)	3.52 ↓ (3.67)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella
24.6%

Draw
25.8%

Lanzarote
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.8%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

23.2%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Estrella - Lanzarote Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Fernandez R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Estrella is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lanzarote is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lanzarote is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Estrella won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Estrella won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.03.25	Arucas - Estrella	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Unión Viera - Estrella	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Estrella - Villa de Santa Brígida	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Estrella - Arcángel San Miguel	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Estrella - Los Llanos de Aridane	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWT
- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
23.03.25	Lanzarote - Arcángel San Miguel	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ibarra - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lanzarote - Los Llanos de Aridane	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Panadería Pulido - Lanzarote	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
23.04.23	Estrella - Lanzarote	1:1
08.01.23	Lanzarote - Estrella	2:2

Estrella - Lanzarote: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide