Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Ibarra		Lanzarote

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.55	3.2	2.5
	2.56	3.35	2.51	Watch
	2.54	3.18	2.49
	2.55	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.02)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.66 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibarra
37.3%

Draw
28.4%

Lanzarote
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.

Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanzarote's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzarote, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ibarra - Lanzarote Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Marrero M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, Marrero M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 0.

Ibarra is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lanzarote is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibarra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:17 (average 1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.03.25	Arucas - Ibarra	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Unión Viera - Ibarra	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Ibarra	2:4 ✺
01.02.25	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWW
- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.03.25	Lanzarote - Los Llanos de Aridane	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Panadería Pulido - Lanzarote	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Las Palmas B - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lanzarote - Herbania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
03.11.24	Lanzarote - Ibarra	2:0
24.02.24	Ibarra - Lanzarote	1:1
08.10.23	Lanzarote - Ibarra	3:0
02.04.23	Lanzarote - Ibarra	3:1
03.12.22	Ibarra - Lanzarote	1:4
12.10.19	Ibarra - Lanzarote	2:2
13.10.18	Ibarra - Lanzarote	2:1

Ibarra - Lanzarote: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide