Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Tinoco (Danli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Estrella Roja de Danlí		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.50
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	1.83	3.2	3.66
	1.91	3.45	3.92	Watch
	1.79	3.1	3.55
	1.85	3.28	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella Roja de Danlí
48.2%

Draw
27.5%

Platense
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.6%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella Roja de Danlí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella Roja de Danlí than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrella Roja de Danlí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estrella Roja de Danlí - Platense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreira V. (G) 11. Bermudez S. 30. Calix C. 23. Gomez E. 2. Juarez L. 18. Luna N. 6. Mayorquin R. 15. Padilla J. 3. Rizo E. 13. Rosales O. 8. Velasquez J.	28. Loaiza M. (G) 13. Arzu M. 6. Castillo Marin J. 3. Garcia E. 22. Gutierrez C. 24. Moncada M. 16. Portillo A. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 30. Solano E. 14. Urbina E.
Substitutes
17. Avila A. 24. Benitez R. 7. Duarte E. 10. Duron D. 12. Garcia M. 9. Lopez F. 69. Lopez J. 14. Munguia E. 32. Paz J. (G) 16. Rosales B. 29. Sabillon E.	4. Alvarez E. 34. Arriola Y. 1. Bonilla M. (G) 26. Brooks J. 19. Canahuati G. 39. Figueroa J. 29. Funes J. 27. Garcia A. 57. Jasid Arzu Marin Y. 31. Norales A. 11. Osorio D. 12. Welcome G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Urbina E. ⚽,
33', Moncada M. 🟨,
34', Arzu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moncada M. ↓, Welcome G. ↑,
46', Arzu M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
46', Rosales O. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
46', Bermudez S. ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Welcome G. ⚽,
58', Calix C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
66', Luna N. ↓, Munguia E. ↑,
66', Velasquez J. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
75', Gutierrez C. ↓, Brooks J. ↑,
78', Solano E. 🟨,
81', Garcia E. 🟨,
83', Urbina E. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Duarte E. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Munguia E. ⚽,
87', Munguia E. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', Portillo A. ↓, Funes J. ↑,
90', Solano E. ↓, Arriola Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10).

In recent matches, Estrella Roja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Platense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Estrella Roja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella Roja de Danlí
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.09.26	CD Marathón - Estrella Roja de Danlí	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Juticalpa	5:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olancho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWTL
- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Platense	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Platense - Atlético Independiente	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Choloma - Platense	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Génesis PN - Platense	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Platense - Real España	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

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