Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CD Marathón		Estrella Roja de Danlí

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.40	4.80
	1.38	4.00	6.25
	1.60	3.42	5.01
	1.67	3.62	5.17	Watch
	1.55	3.45	5.10
	1.73	3.67	4.55
	1.60	3.40	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.34)	3.57 ↓ (4.1)	5.11 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
56.9%

Draw
25.4%

Estrella Roja de Danlí
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Marathón's form might have worsened.

Estrella Roja de Danlí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

CD Marathón - Estrella Roja de Danlí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G) 16. Agurcia S. 22. Argueta C. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 3. Bodden K. 9. Farioli B. 11. Messiniti N. 72. Moreno Y. 10. Ramirez D. 4. Rivera J. (C) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.	1. Moreira V. (G) 30. Calix C. 12. Garcia M. 23. Gomez E. 19. Gutierrez J. 2. Juarez L. 9. Lopez F. 69. Lopez J. 6. Mayorquin R. (C) 15. Padilla J. 8. Velasquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
10', Calix C. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
37', 2 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Moreno Y. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
46', Farioli B. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
46', Lopez F. ↓, Luna N. ↑,
46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Rosales O. ↑,
52', 4 - 0, Castillo I. ⚽,
66', Messiniti N. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
66', Sorto Caballero T. A. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
70', Padilla J. 🟨,
70', Ramirez D. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
70', Velasquez J. ↓, Bermudez S. ↑,
81', Mayorquin R. ↓, Rosales B. ↑,
81', 5 - 0, Castillo I. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Marathón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estrella Roja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marathón is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
29.08.26	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	CD Marathón - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTLW
- Estrella Roja de Danlí
Honduras Liga Nacional
30.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Juticalpa	5:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olancho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTL

Upcoming Matches