Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.25
	1.67	3.4	4.31
	1.73	3.54	4.8	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.66	3.36	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.28)	3.4 ↑ (3.09)	4.53 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
53.2%

Draw
26.7%

Platense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Platense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olancho - Platense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olancho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fonseca H. (C) 14. Argueta C. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 24. Elvir O. 8. Gomez H. 23. Delgado J. 10. Leiva G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	1. Flores B. (G) 25. Pozantes S. 3. Garcia E. 21. Santos B. 2. Mena J. 14. Urbina E. 23. Salinas M. 5. Rodriguez M. 8. Castillo Y. 10. Puerto E. 12. Welcome G. (C)
Substitutes
29. Argueta G. (G) 17. Benitez E. 11. Calix C. 15. Dominguez J. 3. Lasso J. 34. Lopez K. 5. Martinez D. 12. Mejia Y. 27. Murillo A. 25. Perez S. 7. Rodriguez D. 9. Sanchez J.	34. Arriola Y. 4. Bernardez R. 29. Canelas J. 13. Carter D. 26. Castellanos C. 27. Espinoza S. 7. Flores R. 24. Jhonson P. 20. Nunez Ramirez H. J. 18. Orobio Rincon J. A. (G) 16. Reyes M. 30. Solano E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Perea G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Gomez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Urbina E. ↓, Solano E. ↑,
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
46', Perea G. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
51', Salinas M. 🟨,
60', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
60', Leiva G. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
61', Calix C. 🟨,
66', Castillo Y. ↓, Castellanos C. ↑,
74', Argueta C. 🟨,
75', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
81', Welcome G. ↓, Arriola Y. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Salinas M. ⚽,
84', Elvir O. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ⚽,
88', Gomez H. 🟨,
90', Santos B. ↓, Carter D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Olancho could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11
10	Platense	9	2	2	5	8:19	-11	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.03.26	Motagua - Olancho	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTWW
- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.03.26	Platense - Real España	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Platense - Juticalpa	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Génesis PN - Platense	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	CD Marathón - Platense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
25.12.25	Olancho - Platense	3:1
14.12.25	Platense - Olancho	1:1
26.11.25	Platense - Olancho	2:0
14.09.25	Olancho - Platense	2:1

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