Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Promocional Amateur - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday


	Estrella del Sur		Náutico Hacoaj

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.71	5.96
	1.49	3.89	6.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.72)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	6.29 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella del Sur
61.5%

Draw
24%

Náutico Hacoaj
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrella del Sur's performance.

Náutico Hacoaj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Hacoaj might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrella del Sur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Hacoaj than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Hacoaj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).

Estrella del Sur is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Náutico Hacoaj is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estrella del Sur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estrella del Sur is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Estrella del Sur to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
02.05.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Estrella del Sur	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Deportivo Metalúrgico - Estrella del Sur	0:3 ✺
01.04.24	Estrella del Sur - Everton La Plata	4:0 ✺
26.03.24	Belgrano Zárate - Estrella del Sur	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Estrella del Sur - Social Atlético Televisión	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW
- Náutico Hacoaj
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
28.04.24	Náutico Hacoaj - Barrancas UMET	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ezeiza - Náutico Hacoaj	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Náutico Hacoaj - Everton La Plata	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Belgrano Zárate - Náutico Hacoaj	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Náutico Hacoaj - Social Atlético Televisión	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTTW

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