Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Brazil	Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	2.95	5.25
	1.72	2.92	4.9	Watch
	1.78	3.17	5.74
	1.69	3.27	6.41	Watch
	1.74	3	5.8
	1.69	3.17	6.25	Watch
	1.78	3.15	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.87)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	5.65 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
53.7%

Draw
30%

Barracas Central
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 8. Gabriel Neves 31. Rodriguez B. 32. Correa J. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	30. Mino M. (G) 4. Martinez D. 14. Jappert K. 15. Rak Y. 31. Demartini N. 6. Insua R. 8. Porra T. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 77. Bruera F. 11. Briasco N.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 22. Castro A. 18. Cetre E. 26. Funes Mori R. 19. Gaich A. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 52. Kociubinski B. 20. Meza E. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.	13. Barrios R. 28. Bogarin R. 37. Campi G. 20. Candia J. 2. Capraro N. 1. Espinola J. (G) 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Maroni G. 34. Orsini N. 17. Pereyra E. 35. Rolon E. 24. Taborda E.
Coaches
Medina A.	Ayude D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Demartini N. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Jappert K. (Own goal),
43', Miloc D. 🟨,
45+4', Bruera F. 🟨,
45+4', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Rodriguez B. ⚽, Burgos J. (A),
61', Mino M. 🟨,
66', Jappert K. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,
66', Miloc D. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
67', Rodriguez B. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
72', Burgos J. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
72', Benedetti G. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
75', Bruera F. ↓, Orsini N. ↑,
76', Nunez S. 🟨,
76', Rak Y. 🟨,
82', Correa J. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
82', Piovi L. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
82', Rak Y. ↓, Capraro N. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Gonzalez Pirez L. (Own goal),
85', Muslera F. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Carrillo G. ⚽, Meza E. (A),

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Estudiantes is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Universidad Católica - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTL
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Barracas Central - Platense	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Barracas Central - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Barracas Central - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	1:1
27.03.25	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
25.10.24	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	5:2
20.07.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.22	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	1:6

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