Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, TNT Sports
Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.82	2.35	Watch
	3.25	3.00	2.30
	3.25	3	2.35	Watch
	3.42	3.03	2.47
	3.36	3.05	2.34	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.4
	3.31	2.99	2.41	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 (3.34)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
28.3%

Draw
31.8%

Estudiantes La Plata
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

31.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

31%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sarmiento de Junín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ayala T. (G) 8. Salle S. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 21. Mavilla J. 27. Marabel J. 24. Herrera J.	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 35. Pierani V. 24. Palacios T. 36. Pereyra J. 22. Castro A. 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 32. Correa J. (C) 28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L.
Substitutes
1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 77. Pasquini N. 29. Santamaria T.	13. Benedetti G. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 31. Rodriguez B. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Sava F.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Alario L. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽, Mavilla J. (A),
26', Contrera J. 🟨,
40', Pereyra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
46', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
54', Suarez L. 🟨,
58', Contrera J. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
65', Pereyra J. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
65', Aguirre B. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
68', Herrera J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
68', Mavilla J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
75', Castro A. ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Gonzalez G. ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
82', Marabel J. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
82', Correa J. 🟨,
86', Correa J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Mancuso E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Seyral A. (Inactive) Villalba C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez Pirez L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Palacios T. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Junín - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 28.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Banfield - Sarmiento de Junín	3:2 ✺
23.07.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWLL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Universidad Católica - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
13.06.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1
23.10.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
14.06.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
16.07.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3

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