Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.33
	1.95	2.95	4.1
	1.85	3	4.15
	2.04	2.95	4.6
	1.95	2.88	4.2
	2	3.13	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	4.24 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
47.2%

Draw
30.9%

Brown de Adrogué
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brown de Adrogué might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brown de Adrogué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2 ✺
24.02.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
17.02.23	Racing de Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.03.23	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Brown de Adrogué - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Brown de Adrogué - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
19.09.15	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
02.05.15	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1
18.11.14	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.11.26	All Boys - Estudiantes de Caseros	✺
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
02.11.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	✺

Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué