The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 41.8%
Draw 32.6%
Estudiantes de Caseros 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
33.5%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
32.3%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.5%
23.8%
66.7%
Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 46.5% – 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Adin D. 3. Allende L. 10. Batista A. 8. Enrique M. 9. Gonzalez T. 11. Luna R. 6. Moya S. 7. Parisi L. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 2. Tevez F.
1. Budino M. (G) 10. Acosta E. 6. Benitez J. 4. Del Col M. 9. Fagundez F. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Lugo M. 11. Luna E. 8. Miranda F. 7. Ovando L. 2. Perales V. (C)
Substitutes
20. Alfonso L. . Bordagaray F. 18. Capano J. . Ferreira M. 12. Gagliardo M. (G) 14. Perez F. 16. Postigo J. 17. Puzzo S. 15. Sanchez A.
20. Acosta M. 12. Amade L. (G) 16. Bacas T. 19. Contreras E. 13. Ledesma D. 15. Mayorga S. 18. Rodriguez R. 14. Valenzuela I. 17. Vallejos I.
Coaches
Franco D.
Otta W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Ramirez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ovando L. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Parisi L. (Pen),
56', Fagundez F. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
65', Batista A. ↓, Puzzo S. ↑,
65', Miranda F. ↓, Vallejos I. ↑,
73', Benitez J. 🟨,
78', Lugo M. 🟨,
79', Del Col M. ↓, Bacas T. ↑,
79', Luna E. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
83', Parisi L. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
90+1', Luna R. ↓, Alfonso L. ↑,
90+1', Gonzalez T. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
90+3', Perales V. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 3.
Quilmes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches CA Estudiantes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Quilmes have a series of guest games.
Quilmes will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.